Tagged: prediction markets

New Jersey Formally Requests Supreme Court to Determine Who Regulates Sports Betting via Prediction Markets

New Jersey has now formally asked the nation’s highest court to settle a growing dispute over who has the power to oversee sports wagering that takes place on prediction-market platforms. On September 2, 2026, Attorney General Jennifer Davenport filed a petition for a writ of… Read More

Michigan Circuit Court Injunction Requires Kalshi to Keep Blocking Sports Markets

A Michigan circuit court has extended restrictions that keep Kalshi from offering sports-related prediction contracts to people in the state, converting an earlier short-term freeze into a preliminary injunction that remains in place while the underlying lawsuit proceeds. Ingham County Circuit Judge Rosemarie E. Aquilina… Read More

Donald Trump Jr.’s 1789 Capital Leads Polymarket Funding Round

1789 Capital, the venture firm in which Donald Trump Jr. is a partner, is heading a large new financing for Polymarket that would put the prediction-market company at a $21 billion valuation. A spokesperson for the firm said the platform is seeking $1 billion in… Read More

Kalshi Secures New Deal as Official Prediction Market Partner of the US Open

Kalshi has locked in an unexpected last-minute arrangement that places the federally regulated prediction market platform in an exclusive official role at the 2026 US Open. The agreement with the United States Tennis Association took effect as the main draw opened at Flushing Meadows, even… Read More

CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee meeting: CME Group CEO Warns About Prediction Market Listings Open to Manipulation

During the CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee meeting today, there was an interesting exchange between CME Group CEO Terry Duffy and CFTC Chairman Mike Selig. Duffy expressed his support for the crypto industry, something they have participated in since 2017, as well as artificial intelligence, utilized… Read More

Trading Technologies Partners with Crypto.com to Enhance Prediction Markets Access for Institutions

Trading Technologies International (TT), a provider of capital markets technology solutions, has partnered with Crypto.com to broaden institutional access to regulated prediction markets and cryptocurrency derivatives. The collaboration will integrate connectivity to OG.com—Crypto.com’s CFTC-regulated exchange and clearinghouse—directly into the TT platform.The link to OG.com’s prediction… Read More

JPMorgan Ends Formal Banking Ties with Polymarket Amid Regulatory Concerns

JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM), the largest bank in the United States and one of the largest globally as well, terminated its primary banking relationship with the prediction-market platform Polymarket in late 2025, according to a report from the Financial Times. The decision stemmed from regulatory concerns, with… Read More

Kalshi Suspends Sports Mention Markets Amid CFTC Review of Manipulation Risks

Kalshi, one of the largest US prediction markets platforms, has reportedly removed its sports-related “mention markets” following the launch of a review by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) into this category of contracts. The agency is examining whether these markets are particularly vulnerable to… Read More

Kalshi Ordered by Washington Court to Suspend Most Prediction Markets Offerings in the US State

A King County Superior Court judge has ordered the prediction market platform Kalshi to halt most of its offerings available to users in Washington state. The ruling stems from a finding that the company likely breached the Washington Gambling Act along with the Consumer Protection Act by conducting… Read More

Baltimore Files Lawsuits Against Prediction Market Platforms Kalshi and Polymarket

Baltimore City has initiated legal action against leading prediction market operators, arguing that their sports-related offerings amount to unauthorized gambling that harms local consumers. On August 13, 2026, Mayor Brandon Scott and the City Council filed separate complaints in Baltimore City Circuit Court targeting Kalshi… Read More

Kalshi Rolls Out Institutional Market Data Feed via DoubleZero Edge

Prediction market platform Kalshi has made its live order book available for the first time through DoubleZero Edge, a so-called low-latency data delivery service. The partnership now positions Kalshi as the inaugural prediction market on the platform and (reportedly) only the second venue overall, following… Read More

Connecticut Judge Rules Kalshi Sports Contracts Never Qualified as Swaps

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A federal judge in Connecticut has rejected prediction-market operator Kalshi’s bid for emergency protection from state gambling enforcement, determining that the company’s sports-related event contracts do not meet the legal definition of swaps under federal commodities law. As a result, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s… Read More

FlightAware Files Lawsuit Against Kalshi, Alleging Unauthorized Use of Data for Flight-Cancellation Markets

Flight-tracking company FlightAware has filed a lawsuit against prediction-markets operator Kalshi, alleging the platform improperly leveraged its proprietary information and brand to support wagering on flight cancellations. The complaint, submitted August 10, 2026, in the US District Court for the Southern District of New York… Read More

CFTC Advises Prediction Markets to Avoid American-Style Moneyline Odds in Pricing Displays

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued a formal reminder to regulated prediction market platforms, instructing them against presenting event contract prices in the manner of traditional American-style moneyline gambling odds. This guidance comes as the agency continues to defend its oversight of these… Read More

TS Imagine Brings Prediction Markets Probabilities into Institutional Risk and Portfolio Workflows

TS Imagine has added market-implied probabilities from prediction markets to its institutional risk and portfolio management platform. The new capability  lets clients treat the expected outcomes of major economic, political, regulatory and geopolitical events as live, continuously updating inputs within their existing analytics. Prediction market… Read More

Tribal Gaming Authorities Urge CLARITY Act Protections for Prediction Markets

Tribal gaming regulators and members of Congress are pressing for specific language in the pending CLARITY Act to prevent prediction markets from offering sports and casino-style contracts outside existing state and tribal oversight. The call came during a Senate Committee on Indian Affairs roundtable held… Read More

Former Congressman George Santos to Pay $35,000+ in CFTC Settlement Tied to Kalshi Prediction Market Trades

Former US Representative George Santos has agreed to pay more than $35,000 to resolve allegations by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) that he engaged in manipulative trading on the prediction market platform Kalshi. The case centered on event contracts concerning whether he would attend… Read More

New York Regulators Target Prediction Markets Platform Kalshi Platform in Illegal Gambling Lawsuit

New York regulatory authorities have taken legal action against the prediction markets operator Kalshi, accusing it of running an unlicensed gambling business within the state. On July 31, 2026, Governor Kathy Hochul and Attorney General Letitia James announced that the state filed a petition against… Read More

Binance.US Plans CFTC Filing to Launch Prediction Markets Platform

Binance.US is taking steps to broaden its product lineup in the United States by pursuing regulatory approval for a prediction markets offering. At the Rare Evo conference in Las Vegas, the exchange’s chief executive, Stephen Gregory (also known as Stevie Satoshi), stated that the firm… Read More

State Attorneys General Challenge CFTC Authority Over Sports Prediction Markets

A bipartisan alliance of attorneys general from 44 states has formally challenged the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) efforts to oversee sports-linked prediction markets, asserting that the agency possesses no legal power to do so. In a detailed comment letter submitted as the public feedback… Read More

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